Trade

Focus Area

Research Area

Research Area

Research Area

Research Area

International trade plays a pivotal role in economic development and global competitiveness. Our research examines trade policies, regional integration, and foreign direct investment to understand their impact on economic growth and sustainability. We provide insights into emerging trade trends, market access opportunities, and policies that shape the future of global trade.

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    April 6, 2022•El Houssin Ouassou

    Forecasting Regional Tourism Demand in Morocco from Traditional and AI-Based Methods to Ensemble Modeling.

    Tourism is crucial to Morocco's economy, contributing 7.1% to GDP in 2019. However, it's vulnerable to external shocks. This study forecasts tourist arrivals to Marrakech-Safi using conventional (ARIMA, AR, linear regression) and AI-based (SVR, XGBoost, LSTM) models, then develops hybrid models combining both via ensemble learning. Results show hybrid models outperform individual methods, demonstrating their ability to overcome individual limitations.

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    April 12, 2019•Dr. Ashenafi Teshome

    Essays in globalization Technology and the Labor Market

    This thesis analyzes the link between technology, trade, and labor markets. It comprises three chapters: two empirical and one theoretical. Chapter 2 investigates job polarization in developing countries (Ethiopia), finding evidence supporting the phenomenon of growth in high- and low-skilled jobs at the expense of middle-skilled ones. Chapter 3 examines the impact of firms' global market engagement (trade/FDI) on Ethiopia's labor market. Exporting positively impacts employment and wage growth, but the skilled-unskilled wage gap remains. It also shows positive effects for high/low-skilled workers and negative effects for middle-skilled workers, confirming job polarization. Chapter 4 models the interaction between international trade (Melitz model) and frictional labor markets (Pissarides model). It shows trade liberalization affects productivity cut-offs and depends on labor market tightness, also demonstrating increased wage inequality between exporting and non-exporting sectors.

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    January 10, 2018•Dr. Phemelo Tamasiga

    Essays in International Trade, Multinational Firm Production and Economic Growth

    This thesis examines international trade, multinational firms, and economic growth. Chapter 2 quantifies trade and FDI gains, emphasizing intermediate inputs, finding higher gains than literature suggests. Chapter 3 links corporate taxation, firm heterogeneity, and growth. Chapter 4 studies exhaustible resource trade using differential games, revealing Hartwick's rule breakdown. Dynamic models are crucial for understanding resource trade and economic impacts.

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    December 14, 2014•Dr. Phemelo Tamasiga

    Differential games approach to trade with exhaustible resources

    The paper presents a model of world economy with two countries where one of them dubbed home sells the exhaustible resource to final producers in both countries, which compete at the final goods market. The interaction between final producers is reached via the sticky price mechanics, whereas price continuously adjusts to produced final product quantities.

Trade

CV pdf

Trade

Publication pdf

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Trade

Member Publications

  • Trade